国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

The rise of realism in emerging Asia

By David Mann (China Daily) Updated: 2014-02-18 07:49

Now that the super-easy monetary policy, dubbed "quantitative easing" (QE), is coming to an end in the United States, some say this is also the end of the emerging markets' growth story. We at Standard Chartered disagree. In fact, the ending of QE ending bodes well for the emerging markets, especially those in Asia, the region most open to trade.

This is likely to be the first year of truly better growth for the world economy since the global financial crisis. We expect global GDP to expand by 3.5 percent, with growth of 6.6 percent in emerging Asia, 1.3 percent in Europe, 7.4 percent in China and 2.4 percent in the US.

For the first time in years, all major economies are set to grow at a reasonable rate. The world economy is at long last gaining a more solid footing, with multiple drivers of growth.

This is good news for growth in emerging Asian economies, which have increasingly used leverage to support domestic demand in the post-crisis years. While leverage has become stretched in pockets of some economies, there is little reason to expect this - external events in 2014 - to lead to a crisis.

The region is not in a bubble, and there is no "miracle economy" anywhere. A new, more realistic and balanced view of Asia is emerging among global investors - one in which local markets do not outperform year after year, regardless of the risks, and one where prices can adjust downward when excessive optimism has crept in.

Many commentators are worried about the impact of higher global interest rates and tighter financial conditions on emerging markets, which have hitherto benefited from large inflows and easy financing conditions (since 2009, emerging Asia has seen gross inflows of about $630 billion).

The sell-off we saw in emerging markets last year - when investors were anticipating QE tapering - were just the beginning, these commentators argue.

At Standard Chartered, we agree that monetary policy changes in the US are critical. By our estimates, they are twice as important for global liquidity as the next most important central bank, the European Central Bank, which is twice as important as the next central bank, the Bank of Japan, which in turn has twice the impact of the People's Bank of China.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

New type of urbanization is in the details
...
天柱县| 仁怀市| 民和| 桃园市| 波密县| 名山县| 东安县| 东山县| 平乡县| 加查县| 韶山市| 诏安县| 新竹市| 茂名市| 辽宁省| 历史| 来凤县| 突泉县| 荔波县| 江山市| 姚安县| 泰来县| 南江县| 南宫市| 沂南县| 迭部县| 沈阳市| 韶山市| 普兰县| 扎兰屯市| 桑植县| 盐池县| 庄河市| 原阳县| 富宁县| 武安市| 如东县| 丹江口市| 措勤县| 奎屯市| 潞城市|