国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

Chinadaily.com.cn
 
Go Adv Search

China must reexamine housing to continue sustainable growth

Updated: 2012-03-15 15:01

(Xinhua)

  Comments() Print Mail Large Medium  Small

CHICAGAO - China's negative real deposit rates for households have led to an overweight investment in residential housing that must be reexamined if the country is to sustain economic growth, an economist said Wednesday.

Nicholas Lardy, a senior fellow at the Washington-based think tank Peterson Institute for International Economics, said that China's negative real deposit rates -- as nominal interest rates are below inflation -- since 2004 have made investments in banks unattractive for households.

Without this outlet in the banking sector, the Chinese people looked to alternative forms of investment, especially residential housing, which last year comprised more than 9 percent of the country's gross domestic product (GDP) and 40 percent of all Chinese household wealth, he said.

By comparison, the US housing market took up about 6 percent of GDP at its peak in 2006, before the bubble started to collapse, and households held about 33 percent of wealth in residential property.

"It's very hard to find an economy where this high a share has gone into residential property," said Lardy, who spoke at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs.

However, the Chinese housing market is not completely comparable to the US housing bubble as Chinese households are not using economically unsound leveraging policies, Lardy said.

But such overweight investment in residential housing could pose a "macroeconomic risk" to the Chinese economy, Lardy said, as demand for real estate-related products could drop significantly when housing investment shrinks.

"It might not be the financial sector that suffers directly from a slowdown in housing (as in the United States) but ... if the demand for cement and steel and copper and aluminum and a lot of other products softens because housing investment comes down to a more sustainable level, then the economy is going to slow down quite significantly unless there is some other offsetting source of demand," Lardy said.

The economist believed the best way to address the problem is to phase out the negative deposit rates that cause Chinese people to favor real estate as an investment.

Such a measure would stimulate private consumption which, compared with the residential housing boom, is a more sustainable engine for China's economic growth.

"Unless they have some alternative driver of economic growth, it's likely their overall GDP growth could slow down quite substantially, so they need to generate more private consumption expenditure," said Lardy, author of the book "Sustaining China's Economic Growth After the Global Financial Crisis."

Restrictions on the real estate sector are one of the hotly debated topics at this week's annual sessions of the National People's Congress, China's top legislature, and top political advisory body, the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, in Beijing.

信宜市| 西峡县| 河源市| 两当县| 定兴县| 河北省| 迭部县| 雷山县| 巴东县| 三门县| 阳泉市| 民乐县| 拉萨市| 息烽县| 威海市| 通辽市| 丁青县| 来凤县| 沧州市| 巧家县| 柘荣县| 清原| 陆良县| 蒙阴县| 贡山| 郴州市| 井陉县| 建始县| 奎屯市| 金乡县| 鸡泽县| 郑州市| 同德县| 平和县| 达孜县| 涿鹿县| 威海市| 聂荣县| 辽阳市| 安仁县| 定边县|