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RMB hiking play in forex options mkt

Yuan likely to surpass Japanese yen as 2nd-most traded currency against dollar

By ZHOU LANXU | China Daily | Updated: 2026-04-25 00:00
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A billboard in Shanghai displays renminbi's foreign exchange rates. China Daily

The renminbi's rising prominence in global foreign exchange options is not an isolated development, but part of a broader, accelerating expansion of the Chinese currency's international role across investment, financing and commodity pricing, analysts said.

According to the London-based clearing house LCH, the yuan is on track to surpass the Japanese yen as the second-most traded currency against the US dollar in the foreign exchange options market.

Foreign exchange options are derivatives that give market participants the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell currencies at a preset rate, and are widely used to hedge exchange-rate risks and manage global portfolios.

The dollar-offshore yuan pair is likely to move to second place behind just the euro-dollar when the Bank for International Settlements releases its next triennial survey of foreign exchange and over-the-counter derivatives markets in 2028, according to a Bloomberg report.

The daily average turnover of OTC trading of foreign exchange options using the yuan was $82 billion, the BIS survey in 2025 showed, ranking fourth, compared with $102 billion for the yen, $236 billion for the euro and $567 billion for the US dollar.

While the development underscores growing RMB activity in derivatives markets, analysts said its significance lies in what it signals: the yuan's expanding role beyond trade settlement toward a fuller set of global financial functions.

"The rise in FX options trading reflects an accelerated structural shift, where the RMB is increasingly used not only for settlements, but also for financial market trading and reserve allocation," said Yang Haiping, a nonresident research fellow with the Beijing Wealth Management Industry Association.

Yang said that China's robust economic growth and a rising "safe-haven premium" of RMB assets have prompted more global investors — including hedge funds and asset managers — to incorporate RMB assets into their portfolios, boosting demand for related derivatives.

To further enhance the appeal of RMB-denominated bond assets, the China Securities Regulatory Commission said on Friday that the country has allowed qualified foreign investors to participate in treasury futures trading, for hedging purposes only.

At the same time, progress on the financing front is reinforcing the currency's global footprint, with yuan-denominated bond markets having seen strong momentum as the relatively low interest rate environment in China attracts global issuers.

Issuance of panda bonds — onshore yuan-denominated bonds issued by overseas entities — has surged, with first quarter issuance reaching 88.2 billion yuan ($12.9 billion), more than doubling from a year earlier, according to data compiled by Financial News.

Beyond financial markets, the yuan is also gaining traction in commodity trade, with BHP Group reportedly having agreed to use an additional Chinese iron ore price index for one of its flagship products.

"The RMB's role as a pricing currency for commodities is steadily deepening, as China's bargaining power as one of the world's largest importers is increasingly translating into greater currency influence," Yang said.

Wu Xiaoqiu, former vice-president of the Renmin University of China, said the current geopolitical tensions bring both opportunities and challenges to the potential emergence of the "petroyuan", or the rise of the RMB as a currency for oil pricing.

The key still lies in deepening market-oriented reforms to enable freer trade of the RMB, Wu stressed.

Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, vowed last month that China will enhance institutional arrangements and financial infrastructure to support broader cross-border RMB usage to offer more diversified currency choices for domestic and overseas entities.

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