国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

China / Society

Low birth-rate to drag down industry

By Zheng Yangpeng (China Daily) Updated: 2015-10-23 07:52

Wang Yuan, a teacher in a township kindergarten in Xuzhou, Jiangsu province, is ideally placed to witness the fall in China's birth-rate.

Five years ago, she recalled that there were about 40 children per class. Now, Wang said there are just 30 in the class for 5-year-olds and about 20 in the class for 4-year-olds. The figure is just 10 for the class of 3-year-olds.

This sort of anecdotal evidence is being backed up by hard statistics. By the end of last year, there were 225 million Chinese who were 14 years old or younger, which was 16.5 percent of the total population.

That was slightly down from 2011 when the country's sixth national census found the ratio was 16.6 percent. But that number was considerable less than the 22.89 percent in 2000 when the fifth census was released.

According to the global consensus, a country with 15 to 18 percent of its population at 14 years old or younger is considered a "severe low-birth rate society".

Naturally, the figures have triggered a debate in China. Academics, including Mu Guangzong and Liang Jianzhang of Peking University, and Yi Fuxian of Wisconsin University, have argued that the family planning policy must be stopped immediately.

In fact, they say, the government should roll out a "population revival" scheme to avoid China falling into a low birth-rate trap.

"Nursing subsidies should be handed out to couples having more than one child," Mu said. "Other benefits should include longer maternity leave for parents, and easier access to education and health services. Having two children would be good, but three would be even better."

Already the country's aging population is having a huge impact on industry.

Last year, the labor force continued to contract with the working population of 15 to 59-year-olds down 0.6 percent, according to National Bureau of Statistics.

Even the number of migrant workers was static in the first nine months of this year from 1.9 percent growth in 2014 and 2.4 percent growth in 2013.

Low birth-rate to drag down industry

Shortages in the work force have already been felt in key industrial cities on the Chinese coast. In the eastern city of Zhangjiagang, home to China's largest privately owned steel mills in Jiangsu province, migrant workers and their families make up more than 40 percent of the population, according to Yao Linrong, a leading city official.

When asked what was Zhangjiagang's greatest challenge in the next five years, Yao replied: "It has to be population. We need a stable population to keep the economy growing."

At the Yonggang Group, the second largest privately owned steel maker in the country, only a few of its workers are "local" even though the company generated 35 billion yuan ($5.5 billion) in revenue last year.

Nationally, the picture is just as grim. China's total fertility rate has fallen to 1.4, well below 2.1 minimum required to replace an aging population. If that trend continues, the population will shrink by 36 percent in a generation, experts said.

Many regions face even lower birth rates. Shanghai, for example, has the lowest TFR of 0.86 for the last-decade, while the sixth census found that the northeastern region had a rate barely above 1.

Last year, the government allowed couples to have a second child if either of them is the single child in their family. Of the 11 million couples eligible to have a second child, only 1.45 million nationwide have applied for permission.

Ed Zhang contributed to this story.

Highlights
Hot Topics
...
密山市| 凤翔县| 东乡族自治县| 潜江市| 夹江县| 赤壁市| 清丰县| 海林市| 阿勒泰市| 通渭县| 永福县| 桦川县| 曲麻莱县| 广安市| 庐江县| 洛浦县| 垫江县| 九台市| 玛沁县| 宜春市| 台东县| 吉安市| 托克逊县| 芒康县| 闵行区| 安塞县| 普兰店市| 达孜县| 杭锦后旗| 合川市| 滦南县| 新郑市| 南华县| 北辰区| 鄄城县| 墨脱县| 白城市| 珠海市| 沙田区| 根河市| 诏安县|