国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

Business / View

How the economic crash theory crashed in the West

By Dan Steinbock (China Daily) Updated: 2015-06-15 09:22

But real downside risks remain. And these risks could get bigger if the government's stimulus policies fail to support growth or if easing policies prove ineffective. In turn, such risks could be compounded by further declines in property prices.

The government, however, could cope with such challenges by launching new stimulus measures, or absorbing the losses on financial institutions' balance sheets. In turn, China's central bank could intensify easing and allow the yuan to depreciate faster.

Structural reforms are likely to strengthen toward the end of the year, when some analysts expect vital changes, including deposit-rate liberalization and reform in State-owned enterprises. While property developers continue to struggle with oversupply and price correction, sales could pick up later in 2015.

According to the crash oracles, Chinese consumption, which was 37 percent of GDP in 2014, should be closer to 70 percent as in the US. In reality, Chinese consumption has increased dramatically at the expense of investment. Moreover, consumption levels differ between advanced and emerging economies. And the level of consumption is no panacea.

Ultimately, growth deceleration is only a part of the big picture. From 2010 to 2015, China's growth has decelerated from over 10 percent to less than 7 percent. And yet China's per capita income has almost doubled.

In the West, governments and central banks are running out of ammunition. That is not the case in China.

The author is research director of International Business at India China and America Institute (US) and visiting fellow at Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (China) and the EU Centre (Singapore). The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
昌黎县| 平乐县| 比如县| 石河子市| 南投市| 留坝县| 丰顺县| 微山县| 徐汇区| 苗栗县| 凭祥市| 淳安县| 博湖县| 西平县| 西丰县| 晴隆县| 湘潭市| 清苑县| 贵港市| 沛县| 澄城县| 无棣县| 皋兰县| 兴国县| 尖扎县| 明溪县| 台江县| 彰武县| 汕尾市| 清河县| 武城县| 曲麻莱县| 会昌县| 岗巴县| 阿拉善盟| 龙里县| 丰台区| 南陵县| 郸城县| 丘北县| 页游|