国产热热热精品,亚洲视频久久】日韩,三级婷婷在线久久,99人妻精品视频,精品九热人人肉肉在线,AV东京热一区二区,91po在线视频观看,久久激情宗合,青青草黄色手机视频

Business / Economy

Optimism over China's 2014 growth despite challenges

(Xinhua) Updated: 2014-01-08 14:49

Qu believes that the Chinese economy could expand by above 7.5 percent for the first half of 2014, before some moderation in the second half of the year, reflecting the impact of the base effect.

Although slower restocking activity may pose some downside risks in the near term, Qu maintained that China's growth will be supported by such factors as improving external demand, strong infrastructure investment, resilient consumer spending, and reform dividends.

According to the senior economist, 2014 in China will be a year of reform, covering areas ranging from taxation and land markets to financial liberalization and service sector deregulation.

This should fuel growth by unleashing the power of private investment and consumption, offsetting the short-term pain experienced during the early stages of reform, he said.

To mitigate risks, Qu urged China to curb shadow lending while regulating local government borrowing, rather than tightening overall credit conditions for the real economy.

Wang Tao, chief China economist at UBS, projected China's GDP growth in 2014 at 7.8 percent, slightly higher than in 2013.

"We only expect a modest slowdown in domestic investment, which should be more than offset by stronger export and domestic consumption growth," she wrote in a research note.

Wang, however, said there are three questions about China's macro policy and outlook in 2014 and significant unease over them in the market. These three big issues are excess credit growth, local government debt, and liquidity squeezes and rate spikes in the interbank market.

She maintained that China will pursue a slightly more prudent monetary policy and will better regulate the shadow credit market in 2014, slowing the pace of leverage but refraining from outright deleverage.

Local government debt will be put on a more sustainable and transparent path but will continue to grow. Periodic liquidity squeezes and rate spikes will likely persist but the negative impact on overall growth should be limited, Wang added.

Alaistair Chan, an economist with Moody's Analytics, said China's economy enters 2014 with solid momentum, low inflation, and rising household incomes.

Chan expects China's economy to expand by 7.5 percent in 2014 and make modest progress toward rebalancing.

Related coverages

2014 Preview: Financial and equity market China's trade outlook 

Optimism over China's 2014 growth despite challenges

Optimism over China's 2014 growth despite challenges

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

...
...
宝山区| 泽州县| 嵊泗县| 衡东县| 永顺县| 揭阳市| 东莞市| 宁安市| 安新县| 纳雍县| 济南市| 芷江| 江川县| 正阳县| 定兴县| 林芝县| 恩平市| 江源县| 青海省| 兴文县| 即墨市| 江城| 合山市| 漠河县| 庆阳市| 分宜县| 治多县| 屏南县| 沙雅县| 定南县| 永登县| 朝阳市| 商水县| 会宁县| 昌邑市| 疏勒县| 德安县| 冷水江市| 达拉特旗| 奉新县| 永仁县|