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Yemen peace proposal needs work say experts

By JAN YUMUL in Hong Kong | China Daily Global | Updated: 2021-03-26 09:13
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People walk in the old quarter of Sanaa, Yemen on March 22, 2021. [Photo/Agencies]

War-ravaged Yemen could see the prospects for peace pushed back even further unless a comprehensive agreement that works for all parties is thrashed out, experts said.

On Monday, Saudi Arabia's Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan announced an initiative to end the fighting between Houthi rebels and the Riyadh-backed government under the supervision of the United Nations.

The proposal, which involves partially opening the airport in the Yemeni capital Sanaa and reviving a revenue-sharing mechanism between the Houthis and the government, was rejected by the rebels.

Asif Shuja, an Iran expert and senior research fellow at the Middle East Institute at National University of Singapore, said the peace proposal "appears to be a result of the United States' diplomacy", spearheaded by its special envoy Tim Lenderking in consultation with UN Special Envoy Martin Griffiths.

"It is unlikely the Houthis will agree to any deal presented by the Saudis as that would weaken Iran's position in any future negotiations with the US," Shuja said.

On Tuesday, Houthi forces launched a drone attack on an airport in southern Saudi Arabia, saying that the Saudi proposal fell short of their demand for a complete lifting of the air and sea blockade, but that the group remained open to talks in pursuit of a peace deal, according to a Reuters report.

In a Twitter post, Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree said that their operations "will continue for as long as aggression and blockade continue".

Shuja said the blockade that the Houthis have been asking to be removed "is not recognized by the Saudis". And for it to be removed, Saudi Arabia must "first accept that it (the blockade) is in existence", Shuja noted, adding that the blockade was not like one that was imposed on Qatar.

The Houthis rejected the Saudi peace plan instantly to raise their stakes, said Shuja.

The expert said that ending the war in Yemen became one of the top foreign policy priorities of US President Joe Biden after he took office in January.

He signaled this by curtailing US support for military armament of Saudi Arabia, striking the Houthis from the US terror list and embarking on an active diplomacy to resolve the Yemen issue.

Clemens Chay, a Gulf expert and research fellow at the Middle East Institute at the National University of Singapore, said the Saudiled initiative to end the crisis is a rehash of previous efforts aimed de-escalating tensions.

"Ultimately a cease-fire cannot be realized without integrating all armed groups, nor can it be operational without a detailed plan, where thus far there has been constant quibbling," Chay said.

Should peace negotiations advance, Chay said the next focus should be thrashing out the details of a comprehensive agreement to end the crisis.

But a number of hurdles remain along the way, he added, with "the most glaring one" being the possible takeover of the oil-rich Marib city by the Houthi militia.

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